The Problem
Your city local government wants to introduce a new bus system for elderly people. As a consultant, you are hired to perform the economic feasibility analysis of the new system. You did simple survey to the bus dealer and the bus companies and the elderly people and got information of the existing bus system, and preference of bus users. The local government insists that the maximum fare should be one dollar per trip flat fare. Two types of buses are being proposed with characteristic given in the table below:
Proposed |
Mini Van Type |
Mini Bus Type |
Purchasing price |
$20,000 |
$40,000 |
Usage Year |
3 years |
5 years |
Vehicle Capacity |
10 passengers |
20 passengers |
Operating speed |
20 km/hour |
20 km/hour |
Unit gasoline |
9 km/liter |
5 km/liter |
Unit Engine Oil |
5000 km/can |
2000 km/can |
Number of Tires |
4 |
6 |
Tire price |
87.5 per tire |
$100 per tire |
Unit tire |
25000 km |
20000 km |
Salvage Value |
10% of Purchasing price |
5% of Purchasing price |
Driver salary |
$2000/month |
$2500/month |
Load Factor |
0.8 |
0.7 |
The usage year is set based on the company guarantee that the vehicle does not need any repair. We also assume zero accident.
They also want to know the answer of the following problems:
- Among two types of proposed buses, which one is the most feasible?
- How much subsidy should the local government provide per year? The maximum subsidy is $1000 per bus.
- How sensitive is the feasibility from the fluctuation of the demand? What is the threshold boundary of Load Factor?
Other information that you may need including
Gasoline price |
$1.25/liter |
Engine oil price |
$30/can |
Number of working days |
350 days/year |
Number of operating hours |
12 hours/day |
Interest rate |
3% per year |
Reduce time due to boarding and alighting |
1.5 minutes/passenger |
Distance from origin to destination |
5 km |
This tutorial is copyrighted .
Preferable reference for this tutorial is
Teknomo, Kardi (2006) Tutorial on Feasibility Study. http://people.revoledu.com/kardi/tutorial/What-If-Analysis/index.html